U.S. stocks moved sharply higher on Thursday, powered by a rebound in mega-cap growth stocks, while crude oil prices and the dollar slid as a surge of COVID cases in China fueled fears of an economic downturn. All three major U.S. stock indexes rose in a broad-based rally, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq leading the pack. Those gains were extended after a rise in U.S. jobless claims suggested the Federal Reserve’s hawkish monetary policy is having its intended effect.
“We’re seeing a bit of a rally on the labor numbers thismorning and from anything that suggests an easing in Fed policy,” said Greg Bassuk, Chief Executive Officer at AXS Investments in New York. “We didn’t have a Santa Claus rally, so we’re seeing a bit of dip buying as well.” Spiking cases of COVID-19 in China, in the wake of Beijing easing its pandemic-curbing restrictions, have soured risk appetite elsewhere, pressuring the dollar and weighing on crude prices.
Worries over a looming global recession preoccupied investors on the penultimate trading day of 2022, a year in which central banks’ battle against decades-hot inflation and Russia’s war on Ukraine helped push all three major stock indexes to their steepest annual percentage losses since 2008, the nadir of the global financial crisis. “In 2023, we’re looking at a new normal of greater volatility, a continuing high inflation environment and a likely U.S. and global recession,” Bassuk said, all of which are “causing trepidation among investors as we move into the new year.”
An uptick in jobless claims in the United States, and a sharp decline in euro zone business lending offered evidence that the hawkish monetary policies of the Fed and the European Central Bank are succeeding in curtailing demand in order to cool inflation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 309.1 points, or 0.94%, to 33,184.81, the S&P 500 gained 61.47 points, or 1.62%, to 3,844.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 244.75 points, or 2.4%, to 10,458.04.
European shares reversed earlier losses to follow their U.S. counterparts higher. The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.57% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 1.14%.
Emerging market stocks lost 0.24%. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.52% lower, while Japan’s Nikkei lost 0.94%. Benchmark Treasury yields softened after three straight days of gains in the wake of U.S. jobless claims data.
Ten-year notes rose 9/32 in price to yield 3.8523%, from 3.886% late on Wednesday. The 30-year bond was last up 23/32 in price to yield 3.9363%, from 3.977% late on Wednesday.
The dollar edged lower against a basket of world currencies as hopes driven by China’s reopening were dampened by a wave of new COVID cases there. The dollar index fell 0.4%, with the euro up 0.48% to $1.0659.
The Japanese yen strengthened 1.05% versus the U.S. currency at 133.08 per dollar, while sterling was last trading at $1.2046, up 0.27% on the day. Crude oil prices slid as soaring COVID cases in China suggested softening global demand.
U.S. crude fell 1.76% to $77.57 per barrel and Brent was last at $82.04, down 1.47% on the day. Gold jumped, boosted by on the dollar’s weakness.
Spot gold added 0.5% to $1,813.11 an ounce.
