Weather Forecast For August 12-13: On Saturday and Sunday, isolated very heavy to extremely heavy precipitation is possible in southern Uttarakhand. The sub-Himalayan states of West Bengal, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya are likely to experience widespread rainfall accompanied by torrential downpours and thunderstorms.– Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Bihar, Sikkim, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura can anticipate widespread rainfall and thunderstorms.– Ladakh, Jammu-Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Gangetic-West Bengal, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Goa, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Lakshadweep, and Andaman-Nicobar Islands could see isolated to scattered rains and thunderstorms.
The monsoon trough is anticipated to remain north of or along the foothills of the Himalayas for the next four to five days before progressively shifting southward.– Northwest India, which includes Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh, will experience mild to moderate scattered to relatively widespread rains with isolated heavy downpours.
Weekend Forecast For August 12-13
As predicted by the 2-day regional forecast, Saturday, August 12 may be drenched by isolated very heavy to extremely heavy rainfall. Over the sub-Himalayan states of West Bengal, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya, heavy rain and thunderstorms are probable. Across Himachal, Uttarakhand, Bihar, Sikkim, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura, heavy precipitation and thunderstorms are expected to be pervasive. Ladakh, Jammu-Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Gangetic-West Bengal, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Goa, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Lakshadweep, and Andaman-Nicobar Islands are likely to experience isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.
On Sunday, August 13, isolated extremely heavy to very heavy rainfall may drench the southern region of Uttarakhand. Over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Uttarakhand, widespread rain with torrential downpours and thunderstorms are predicted. Predicted over Himachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Bihar, and Gangetic-West Bengal are widespread rains with significant precipitation and thunderstorms. Over Ladakh, Jammu-Kashmir, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Goa, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and the Andaman-Nicobar Islands, isolated to scattered rain and thunderstorms are probable.
5-Day National Prediction
A cyclonic circulation lies over northeast Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Bihar, as predicted by the TWC Met Team’s 3-day rainfall forecast from Saturday to Tuesday morning, and a trough extends from east Bihar to northwest Bay of Bengal in lower tropospheric levels. The monsoon trough is located north of its normal position and will remain north, or along the Himalayan foothills, for the next four to five days. After that, it will progressively shift southward to its normal position. In addition, a Western Disturbance as a trough in middle tropospheric westerlies follows Long. 68°E to the north of 30°N.
Under the combined influence of the aforementioned meteorological systems, the following national impacts are probable:
Northwest India: Light/moderate dispersed to fairly widespread rains with isolated heavy falls (64.5 mm-115.5 mm) on August 12-13 over Himachal, Uttarakhand from August 12-16, Punjab and Haryana on August 12-13, and Uttar Pradesh from August 12-14.
On August 13-14, there will be isolated very heavy to extremely heavy rainfall in Uttarakhand.
